As
mid-May brings on the onset of winter, the Antarctic stratosphere cools and
descends closer to the surface. The Coriolis effect (caused by the earths
rotation) sets up a strong westerly circulation around the south pole, forming
an oblong vortex which varies in size from year to year.
Polar Stratospheric
Clouds
Lamont Poole, NASA Langley Research Center
As
temperatures in the lower stratosphere cools below -80'C, Polar Stratospheric
Clouds (PSC's) start to form.
In the area over Antarctica,
there are stratospheric cloud ice particles that are not present at warmer
latitudes. Reactions occur on the surface of the ice particles that accelerate
the ozone destruction caused by stratospheric chlorine. Polar regions get a much
larger variation in sunlight than anywhere else, and during the 3 months of
winter spend most of time in the dark without solar radiation. Temperatures
hover around or below -80'C for much of the winter and the extremely low
Antarctic temperatures cause cloud formation in the relatively ''dry''
stratosphere.
These Polar Stratospheric Clouds (PSC's) are composed of ice crystals that
provide the surface for a multitude of reactions, many of which speed the degradation
of ozone molecules. This phenomenon has caused documented
decreases in ozone concentrations over Antarctica.
In
fact, ozone levels drop so low in spring in the Southern Hemisphere that
scientists have observed what they call a "hole" in the ozone layer.
The ozone destruction process requires conditions cold enough for stratospheric
clouds to form. Once these stratospheric clouds form the process can take place,
even in warmer conditions.
Jonathan
Shanklin of The BAS making ozone measurements
Ground based measurements of
Ozone were first started in 1956, in at Halley Bay, Antarctica. Satellite
measurements of ozone started in the early 70's, but the first comprehensive
worldwide measurements started in 1978 with the Nimbus-7 satellite.
Chloroflourocarbons were first
created in 1928 as non-toxic, non-flamable refrigerants, and were first produced
commercially in the 1930's by DuPont. The first Chlorofluorocarbon was CFC-12, a
single carbon with two chlorines and two Fluorines attached to it.
In 1974 M.J.Molina and
F.S.Rowland published a laboratory study demonstrating the ability of CFC's to
catalytically breakdown Ozone in the presence of high frequency UV light.
Further studies estimated that the ozone layer would be depleted by CFC's by
about 7% within 60yrs and based on such studies the US banned CFC's in aerosol
sprays in 1978. Slowly various nations agreed to ban CFC's in aerosols but
industry fought the banning of valuable CFC's in other applications.
Joesph
Farman, Brian Gardiner,
and Jonathan Shanklin of the British Antarctic Survey
Joseph Farman, Brian Gardiner and Jonathan
Shanklin, are the BAS
scientists who discovered the Antarctic ozone hole. Their paper was published
in Nature , May 1985, the study summarized data that had been collected by
the British Antarctic Survey showing that ozone levels had dropped to 10% below
normal January levels for Antarctica.
Dr
Richard D. McPeters, Principal Investigator, Earth Probe TOMS at Goddard Space
Flight Center explains "Our software had flags for ozone that was lower
than 180 DU, a value lower than had ever been reliably reported prior to 1983.
In 1984, before publication of the Farman paper, we noticed a sudden increase in
low value from October of 1983. We had decided that the values were real and
submitted a paper to the conference the following summer when Joe's paper came
out, showing the same thing. As the first one in print, he gets full credit for
discovery of the ozone hole. It makes a great story to talk about how NASA
"missed" the ozone hole, but it isn't quite true."
In the 1980's the first
measurements of this loss were actually documented. In 1984, when the British
first reported their findings, October ozone levels were about 35 percent lower
than the average for the 1960s. When the first measurements were taken the drop
in ozone levels in the stratosphere was so dramatic that at first the scientists
thought their instruments were faulty.
NASA
Nimbus 7
The
U.S. satellite Nimbus-7 quickly confirmed the results, and the term Antarctic
ozone hole entered popular language.
The ozone hole appeared first over the colder Antarctic
because the ozone-destroying chemical process works best in cold conditions. The
Antarctic continent has colder conditions than the Arctic, which has no
land-mass. As the years have gone by the Ozone Hole has increased rapidly and is
as large as the Antarctica continent. The hole lasts for only two months, but
its timing could not be worse. Just as sunlight awakens activity in dormant
plants and animals, it also delivers a dose of harmful ultraviolet radiation.
After eight weeks, the hole leaves Antarctica, only to pass over more populated
areas, including The Falkland Islands, South Georgia and the tip of South
America. This biologically damaging, high-energy radiation can cause skin
cancer, injure eyes, harm the immune system, and upset the fragile balance of an
entire ecosystem. News about the ozone hole that forms over Antarctica
each October has spread around the world. The ozone hole can be as big as 1.5
times larger than the United States.
Size
Comparison Antarctica
-United States
Below
is a table of geographic areas to be used as references in conceptualizing just
how large the ozone hole can get.
Following are referable
areas:
Australia
8,923,000 Sq
Km
United
States
9,363,130 Sq
Km
Europe
10,498,000 Sq
Km
Antarctica
13,340,000 Sq
Km
Russia
17,078,000 Sq
Km
North America
25,349,000 Sq
Km
Africa
30,335,000 Sq
Km
S. Pole to 70
S
15,300,000 Sq
Km
Source:
NOAA
Climate Prediction Center
However,
less-well-known is that ozone depletion has been measured everywhere outside the
tropics, and that it is, in fact, getting worse. in the middle latitudes (most
of the populated world), ozone levels have fallen about 10% during the winter
and 5% in the summer. Since 1979, they have fallen about 5% per decade when
averaged over the entire year. Depletion is generally worse at higher latitudes,
i.e. further from the Equator.
The
severity of the ozone hole varies somewhat from year to year. These fluctuations
are superimposed on a trend extending over the last three decades. The graphs
below show these variations. The red bars indicate the largest area and the
lowest minimum value.
South
Pole Ozone Hole Minimum Profiles NOAA
3
October2006 World
Meteorological Organization This year’s hole in the Antarctic ozone layer
was the most serious on record exceeding that of 2000. Not only was it the
largest in surface area (matching 2000) but also suffered the most mass deficit,
meaning that there was less ozone over the Antarctic than ever previously
measured.
Measurements were taken from
instruments on both NASA and European Space Agency (ESA) satellites. These are
validated by surface based observations of the WMO Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW)
ozone network. Each agency uses different instruments hence the slightly
different values.
NASA instruments showed that,
on 25 September 2006, the area of the hole reached 29.5 million km2, compared to
29.4 million km2 reached in September 2000.
Ozone Hole Maximum Area Over Time
Year
Area
(million sq. km)
September 17, 1979
1.09
No Image
October
27, 1980
3.27
October
10, 1981
3.15
October
27, 1982
10.8
October
17, 1983
12.24
September 24, 1984
14.65
October
3, 1985
18.79
October
6, 1986
14.37
September 29, 1987
22.45
September
20, 1988
13.76
October
3, 1989
21.73
September
19, 1990
21.05
October
4, 1991
22.60
September
27, 1992
24.90
September
20, 1993
24.017
No
Image
September
22, 1994
23.429
No
Image
1995
No
satellite in place
September
7, 1996
26.96
September
27, 1997
25.13
September
19, 1998
28.21
September
15, 1999
26.09
September
3, 2000
29.4
September
17, 2001
26.52
September
19, 2002
21.74
September
24, 2003
28.51
September
22, 2004
22.76
September
11,2005
26.77
September 25,2006
29.46
September 13,2007
25.02
September 12, 2008
27.1
September 17, 2009
24.1
Data
Courtesy of: Dr. Richard McPeters NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
The 2009 ozone hole is essentially
over, with most of the continent experiencing a stratospheric spring warming.
The residual vortex is over the Dronning Maud Land and here minimum ozone values
are around 240 DU and ozone depletion exceeds 30%. Ozone values outside
the polar vortex have dropped to near 400 DU, and inside the vortex ozone values
are rapidly increasing as the atmosphere warms, though the summer circulation is
not yet fully established. The temperature of the ozone layer over
Antarctica is now too warm for polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs) to form.
During the early winter, the polar vortex was often rather more elliptical than
it was in 2008, and this lead to some early depletion in circumpolar regions as
stratospheric clouds became exposed to sunlight. It reverted to a
more circular circulation as winter progressed and this led to another
relatively slow start to the growth of the ozone hole (as measured by
NASA/SBUV2), with the "hole" not beginning until mid August. The
vortex became more elliptical again in late August, with South Georgia being
affected by the fringes of the ozone hole between September 2 and 6. The
hole grew to reach an area of around 24 million square kilometres by mid
September, and then lasted until the end of November. From mid August to
mid November it remained around the average area seen over the past decade.
The tip of South America and South Georgia were affected by the fringes of the
ozone hole from September 24 to September 30, from October 3 to October 7 and
from November 8 to 25. South Georgia was affected on November 6.
In
2009, the ozone hole reached its 10th largest measured size since careful
measurements began in 1979.The
daily maximum ozone hole area for 2009 was 24 million km2 on 17 September.
The
daily minimum ozone value area for 2009 was 94 DU on 26 September.
The 2008 ozone hole season is
past its peak and ozone levels over Antarctica are slowly rising, with the
ozone hole slowly shrinking. The polar vortex has been very stable
throughout the season, however the final spring warming is expected
towards the end of the month. During its initial stages, the ozone
hole was much smaller than has been usual for August, but it grew rapidly
as stratospheric clouds were exposed to sunlight. It covered over 25
million square kilometres in mid September, about the same as last year
and remained at around 24 million square kilometres until early October.
It is now around 14 million square kilometres, which is the largest
on record for this time of year. The temperature of the ozone layer
over Antarctica is rising as the spring warming takes hold, and is now
generally too warm for polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs) to continue to
exist. The temperature within the polar vortex is generally a little
below the normal. Ozone values are above 350 DU in parts of the
circum-polar regions, which is a bit lower than at this time last year.
Lowest values, near 160 DU, are offset slightly from the pole towards the
Weddell Sea. The vortex briefly showed a more elliptical circulation
pattern, and the ozone hole extended over the tip of South America, the
Falkland Islands and South Georgia between October 28th and 30th.
PSCs were seen from Rothera on several occasions and also at Halley.
On September
12, 2008, the Antarctic ozone hole reached its maximum size for the year.
Represented by blues and purples in this image from the Ozone Monitoring
Instrument (OMI) on NASA Aura satellite, the ozone hole covered about 27
million square kilometers, making it larger than North America, which is
about 25 million square kilometers. Though larger than it was in 2007, the
2008 ozone hole was still smaller than the record set in 2006.
Situation at 2007 December 28British
Antarctic Survey Ozone Bulletin The
ozone hole of 2007 is over. The temperature of the ozone layer is now highest
over Antarctica and cools northwards. It is too warm for polar stratospheric
clouds (PSCs) to exist. Generally across Antarctica, ozone values are around 300
DU. Values are now slowly dropping towards the normal autumn normal minimum. In
general the circum-polar stratospheric vortex was more disturbed this year than
it was last year, however there were also periods of stability. Some areas of
Antarctica saw ozone values down to ozone hole levels (less than 220 DU) in mid
June, suggesting the possibility of early chemical depletion, combined with some
dynamic processes. In mid July the minimum temperature of the Antarctic
stratosphere at 70 & 50 hPa was close to the normal, although that at 30 hPa
was below the normal, and I suggested the likelihood of another strong ozone
hole year. Early August saw the largest ozone hole recorded for this time of
year, although at the same time very high ozone levels existed over the northern
Antarctic Peninsula. The vortex was more circular in mid September but returned
to an elliptical shape and initially warmed slowly. In mid September the ozone
hole area reached a maximum of just over 24 million square kilometres, but it
then slowly shrank as the vortex warmed further. A spring warming took place
over the Pacific coast of Antarctica and the Antarctic Peninsula in late
October, however this subsided as the ozone hole became more symmetric again. A
second major warming took place towards the end of November, but subsided in
early December. Around December 8 the ozone hole was briefly the largest on
record for the date. The tip of South America and the Falkland Islands saw ozone
levels below 250 DU on August 24, with South Georgia experiencing similar levels
on September 4. The fringes of the ozone hole were over South Georgia on
September 11. The area was intermittently affected from September 22 to October
22, with South Georgia particularly affected on September 25, when values
dropped below 175 DU. The Falklands and South Georgia were affected for a final
time between November 23 and 25.
Data
from NASA's Earth-observing Aura satellite show that the ozone hole peaked in
size on Sept. 13,2007 reaching a maximum area extent of 9.7 million square miles(24.7Area
(million sq. km)) just larger than the size of North America. That's
"pretty average," says Paul Newman, an atmospheric scientist at NASA
Goddard Space Fight Center, when compared to the area of ozone holes measured
over the last 15 years. Still, the extent this year was "very big," he
says, compared to 1970s when the hole did not yet exist.
2007 Climate
Prediction Center summary-Extensive
ozone depletion was again observed over Antarctica during the Southern
Hemisphere winter of 2007, with widespread total ozone anomalies of 45 percent
or more below the 1979 to 1986 base period. The area covered by extremely low
total ozone values of less than 220 Dobson Units, defined as the Antarctic “Ozone
Hole” area, in September reached maximum size of greater than 24 million
square kilometers, the 7th largest over all 29 years of continuous satellite
monitoring of Antarctic ozone. However, after reaching its maximum size, the
Ozone Hole diminished in size such that it was just the 17th largest for the
month of October. Vertical profiles of ozone amounts, measured by balloon-sondes
over the South Pole, showed near-complete destruction of ozone in the 13 to 21
km region for a relatively short period of time due to the Ozone Hole’s
displacement off of the pole towards the Atlantic quadrant. Minimum total ozone
values observed at the South Pole were higher than those seen during recent
years. Lower stratospheric temperatures over the Antarctic region in the winter
of 2007 were again well below -78ºC, and were sufficiently low for polar
stratospheric cloud formation, promoting chemical ozone loss. The size of the
area of very low temperatures in 2007 was, however, average or below average for
the past ten years. The polar vortex persisted until mid-December when it and
the remains of the Ozone Hole slowly diminished as the polar circulation changed
over into its summer pattern.
2006 Climate
Prediction Center summary-Very
low ozone values were again observed over Antarctica in the winter of 2006.
Ozone depletion of more than 45 percent was observed over Antarctica, compared
to total ozone amounts observed in the early 1980's. Vertical soundings over the
South Pole during August, September and October 2006 again showed strongest
destruction of ozone at altitudes between 13 and 21 km. Lower stratosphere
temperatures in the winter of 2006 over the Antarctic region were lower than in
2005 and near record levels. Associated with this, the ozone hole was larger
than in other years. The ozone hole in 2006 diminished in size and depth along
with warming stratospheric conditions in October, and by early December, total
ozone over Antarctica had increased to levels above ozone hole values.
The stability of the
stratospheric polar vortex structure, which kept it generally centered over the
South Pole, and the very persistent, anomalously cold temperatures in the
presence of halogen levels that remain at high levels (though no longer at their
highest levels) were the prime contributors to the record setting depletion.
2005 Climate
Prediction Center summary-In
the winter of 2005-2006, positive anomalies of total ozone were prevalent in the
high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere. The positive anomalies in total ozone
were associated with the meteorological conditions of positive anomalies of
lower stratosphere temperature. Arctic temperatures were not sufficiently low
for the formation of polar stratospheric clouds and consequent chemical ozone
depletion within the polar vortex. Chlorine and other ozone destroying chemicals
in the lower stratosphere reached peak values around 1997-98, and have remained
at high levels. Lower stratosphere ozone destruction is strong when
meteorological conditions of a strong polar vortex and cold polar temperatures
prevail. Those cold conditions were not present in the lower stratosphere in the
winter of 2005-2006.
Total ozone declined over
mid-latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere at the rate of about 2 to 4 percent per
decade from 1979 to 1993. In recent years the strong rate of decline of Northern
Hemisphere total ozone has not continued, but current stratospheric ozone
amounts continue to be below the amounts measured before the early 1980s. A full
explanation of ozone and temperature anomalies must include all aspects of ozone
photochemistry and meteorological dynamics. Continued monitoring and
measurements are essential toward this end.
2004 Climate
Prediction Center summary-Very
low ozone values were again observed over Antarctica in the winter/spring of
2004. Ozone depletion of more than 45 percent was observed over Antarctica,
compared to total ozone amounts observed in the early 1980's. Vertical soundings
over the South Pole during August, September and October 2004 again showed
strongest destruction of ozone at altitudes between 15 and 20 km. Lower
stratosphere temperatures in the winter of 2004 over the Antarctic region were
higher than in 2003. Associated with this, the ozone hole area was smaller than
in 2003. The ozone hole in 2004 diminished in size and depth along with warming
stratospheric conditions in September and October, and, by mid-November, total
ozone over Antarctica had increased to levels above ozone hole values.
Observations of
chloroflourocarbons and of stratospheric hydrogen chloride support the view that
international actions are reducing the use and release of ozone depleting
substances (WMO, 1999; Anderson et al., 2000). However, chemicals already in the
atmosphere are expected to continue to impact the ozone amount for many decades
to come. Further, changing atmospheric conditions that modulate ozone can
complicate the task of detecting the start of ozone layer recovery. The eruption
of the Pinatubo volcano provided an example of such a complication in the 1990s.
Based on an analysis of 10 years of South Pole ozone vertical profile
measurements, Hofmann et al., (1997) estimated that recovery in the Antarctic
ozone hole may be detected as early as the coming decade. Indicators include: 1)
an end to springtime ozone depletion at 22-24 km, 2) 12-20 km mid-September
column ozone loss rate of less than 3 DU per day, and 3) a 12-20 km ozone column
of more than 70 DU on September 15. An intriguing aspect of recent observations
of the Antarctic stratosphere had been the apparent trend towards a later
breakup of the vortex in years since 1990, relative to the 1980s. The limited
duration and size of the 2004 ozone hole is attributed in part to meteorological
conditions. A full explanation of such meteorological anomalies is not yet
available. Continued monitoring and measurements, including total ozone and its
vertical profile, are essential to achieving the understanding needed to
identify ozone recovery.
2003 Climate
Prediction Center summary-Very
low ozone values were again observed over Antarctica in the winter/spring of
2003. Ozone depletion of more than 40 percent was observed over Antarctica,
compared to total ozone amounts observed in the early 1980's. Vertical soundings
over the South Pole during August, September and October 2003 again showed
strongest destruction of ozone at altitudes between 15 and 21 km. Lower
stratosphere temperatures in the winter of 2003 over the Antarctic region were
also much lower than average values. Associated with this, the ozone hole area
in August and September was among the largest of any previous year. The ozone
hole diminished in October and November along with warming stratospheric
conditions. So although the Antarctic ozone hole in 2003 reached unprecedented
size, the duration of the extremely low ozone conditions was limited by warmer
meteorological conditions which developed in October and November.
Observations of chloroflourocarbons and of
stratospheric hydrogen chloride support the view that international actions are
reducing the use and release of ozone depleting substances (WMO, 1999; Anderson
et al., 2000). However, chemicals already in the atmosphere are expected to
continue to deplete ozone for many decades to come. Further, changing
atmospheric conditions that modulate ozone can complicate the task of detecting
the start of ozone layer recovery. The eruption of the Pinatubo volcano provided
an example of such a complication in the 1990s. Based on an analysis of 10 years
of South Pole ozone vertical profile measurements, Hofmann et al., (1997)
estimated that recovery in the Antarctic ozone hole may be detected as early as
the coming decade. Indicators include: 1) an end to springtime ozone depletion
at 22-24 km, 2) 12-20 km mid-September column ozone loss rate of less than 3 DU
per day, and 3) a 12-20 km ozone column of more than 70 DU on September 15. An
intriguing aspect of recent observations of the Antarctic stratosphere had been
the apparent trend towards a later breakup of the vortex in most recent years.
The large size of the August-September 2003 ozone hole but its limited duration
in October-November is attributed in part to meteorological conditions. A full
explanation of such meteorological anomalies is not yet available. Continued
monitoring and measurements, including total ozone and its vertical profile, are
essential to achieving the understanding needed to identify ozone recovery.
2002
Climate Prediction Center summary-Very
low ozone values were observed over Antarctica again in the Southern Hemisphere
winter of 2002. Ozone depletion of more than 40 percent was observed over
Antarctica compared to total ozone amounts observed in the early 1980's.
Vertical soundings over the South Pole during September and October 2002 again
showed strong destruction of ozone at altitudes between 15 and 20 km. However,
for the year 2002, the ozone hole declined rapidly in late September, and had
the shortest duration of any year since 1988. Lower stratosphere temperatures in
the winter and spring of 2002 over the Antarctic region were much higher than
average values. Associated with this, the ozone hole area was among the smallest
of recent years.
Observations of
chloroflourocarbons and of stratospheric hydrogen chloride support the view that
international actions are reducing the use and release of ozone depleting
substances ; Anderson et al., 2000). However, chemicals already in the
atmosphere are expected to continue to deplete ozone for many decades to come.
Further, changing atmospheric conditions that modulate ozone can complicate the
task of detecting the start of ozone layer recovery. The eruption of the
Pinatubo volcano provided an example of such a complication in the 1990s. Based
on an analysis of 10 years of South Pole ozone vertical profile
measurements, estimated that recovery in the Antarctic ozone hole may be
detected as early as the coming decade. Indicators include: 1) an end to
springtime ozone depletion at 22-24 km, 2) 12-20 km mid-September column ozone
loss rate of less than 3 DU per day, and 3) a 12-20 km ozone column of more than
70 DU on September 15. An intriguing aspect of recent observations of the
Antarctic stratosphere had been the apparent trend towards a later breakup of
the vortex in most recent years. However, the limited size and duration of the
2002 ozone hole is attributed to highly unusual meteorological conditions this
year. A full explanation of such meteorological anomalies is not yet available.
Continued monitoring and measurements, including total ozone and its vertical
profile, are essential to achieving the understanding needed to identify ozone
recovery.
2001 Climate
Prediction Center summary-Very
low ozone values were observed over Antarctica again in 2001. Ozone depletion of
10 percent to more than 40 percent was observed over Antarctica compared to
total ozone amounts observed in the early 1980's. Vertical soundings over the
South Pole during late September and early October 2001 again showed complete
destruction of ozone at altitudes between 15 and 20 km. Lower stratosphere
temperatures in the winter and spring of 2001 over the Antarctic region were
below average values, and were sufficiently low for ozone production of polar
stratospheric clouds within the polar vortex. The ozone hole area and the PSC
area were again among the largest of all previous years. For the year 2001, the
ozone hole and Southern Hemisphere polar vortex persisted into December, again
among the longest duration of years since 1982.
Observations of
chloroflourocarbons and of stratospheric hydrogen chloride support the view that
international actions are reducing the use and release of ozone depleting
substances . However, chemicals already in the atmosphere are expected to
continue to deplete ozone for many decades to come. Further, changing
atmospheric conditions that modulate ozone can complicate the task of detecting
the start of ozone layer recovery. The eruption of the Pinatubo volcano provided
an example of such a complication in the 1990s. Based on an analysis of 10 years
of South Pole ozone vertical profile measurements, estimated that recovery in
the Antarctic ozone hole may be detected as early as the coming decade.
Indicators include: 1) an end to springtime ozone depletion at 22-24 km, 2)
12-20 km mid-September column ozone loss rate of less than 3 DU per day, and 3)
a 12-20 km ozone column of more than 70 DU on September 15. However, an
intriguing aspect of recent observations of the Antarctic stratosphere is the
apparent trend towards a later breakup of the vortex. A full explanation of such
meteorological anomalies is not yet available. Continued monitoring and
measurements, including total ozone and its vertical profile, are essential to
achieving the understanding needed to identify ozone recovery.
British Antarctic Survey summary 2000-The
2000 ozone hole reached its greatest extent in early September at 28.4 million
square kilometres and was the largest ever-recorded ozone hole.It reached this maximum extent unusually early, as the hole is normally
largest in late September.Minimum
ozone values were measured in early October and were amongst the lowest on
record.The edge of the ozone hole
passed over the tip of South America and the Falkland Islands for significant
periods between October 6 and 24.The
hole also closed in unusually early and the event was essentially over by early
December.This early closure of the
hole is probably linked with the QBO/ENSO and in retrospect was to be expected.
British Antarctic Survey summary 1999-The ozone layer over Antarctica evolved in
a broadly similar way in 1999/2000 to each of the past few years. Significant
ozone depletion over Halley had already occurred by late August and maximum
depletion, of 60%, occurred in early October. The ozone hole filled rapidly in
early December, however a remnant area over central Antarctica, with ozone
values below 240 DU, persisted until early February. Ozone values remained at
around 255 DU at Halley for the rest of the season (15% below the normal). At
Vernadsky ozone values slowly fell from a peak in mid December until the end of
March but rose by 30 DU in April. Stratospheric temperatures at Halley remained
below the normal from late September until early April.
British Antarctic Survey summary 1998-The 1998 Antarctic ozone hole was broadly
similar to those seen in recent years, although a little larger and a little
longer lasting. At Halley the final spring warming did not take place until late
December and a remnant of the ozone hole passed over the station in late
January.
Mean total ozone values declined from
around 260 DU in early August to a minimum of 120 DU in early October at a rate
of around 3 DU per day. They rose a little, but oscillated around 180 DU from
late October until the final warming began in early December. Peak ozone values
of around 290 DU occurred in late December, but this was nearly a month later
and 25% lower than the historical maximum. Values slowly declined from this peak
through the rest of the summer. Unusually low ozone values and 100 hPa
temperatures were recorded around January 21 when a remnant of the ozone hole
passed over the station. Autumn values were around 260 DU, some 15% below
normal.
British Antarctic Survey summary 1997-Overall the 1997/98 ozone season was
comparable to those of recent years, with minimum ozone values of around 110 DU
at Halley. The spring warming took place slightly earlier than in the past two
years, leading to a higher annual mean. The January and February means for
Vernadsky were the lowest on record. The 100 hPa temperature over Halley and
Vernadsky was below the long term mean for most of the season.Total ozone values
fell from an estimated 300 DU in early July to around 200 DU in mid August.
Values rose to around 240 DU towards the end of August but then steadily fell to
reach 115 DU in early October. Ozone values rose to around 160 DU late in
October and remained near this value until mid November when the spring warming
started. Values peaked at just under 300 DU in early December, compared to the
long term mean peak of 380 DU. Summer values declined to a plateau in early
January at around 260 DU. Daily variation began to increase at the beginning of
March, although mean values have changed little. Ozone values remained
significantly below the long term mean throughout the year.
British Antarctic Survey summary 1996-Routine ozone measurements from Halley
station do not start until towards the end of August because the sun is not high
enough to permit measurements. Mean total ozone values fell from an estimated
260 DU in early July to around 140 DU in mid September and then declined more
slowly to reach 125 DU in early October. They climbed to around 180 DU by late
October, but remained at that level throughout November. In early December,
ozone levels began to rise and reached a peak of around 300 DU late in the
month. This is some 80 DU lower than the pre-ozone hole average peak value.
After that, values slowly declined and had reached around 230 DU by the end of
the season. Values only briefly exceeded the lower bound of the variation from
the long-term mean late in the season. The lowest mean daily value seen (114 DU
on October 8) is comparable to that of the previous few years.
British Antarctic Survey summary 1995-Preliminary mean daily ozone values
dropped from values of around 280 Dobson Units (DU) at the beginning of August
to around 175 DU at the end of September (50% depletion). Individual daily
values dropped as low as 132 DU. The first week of October saw a major spring
warming event, with a rise in mean total ozone to over 300 DU as the circumpolar
high ozone belt moved across the station. Mean values then fell back to around
190 DU in mid October before rising again to over 300 DU in a second warming
event at the end of October. Mean values dropped back again to 200 DU in early
November before slowly rising to around 315 DU in the final warming event of the
year in mid December. Values slowly declined from the December peak to around
260 DU at the end of April.
Generally values in the 95/96 season were
a little above those reached in 1993 and 1994 during the first half of the
season and below during the second half. The final spring warming was much later
than in either year. Values were significantly below those of the long term mean
throughout the season.
British Antarctic Survey summary 1994-Preliminary mean ozone values from Faraday
show that mean ozone values at the end of the winter were around 290 DU dropping
to a minimum of around 160 DU by mid October (55% depletion). This is the
steepest decline recorded at this station, and the minimum mean values were
about 40 DU below those at the same time last year. The mean for September is
the lowest September mean recorded at the station; 133 DU recorded at the end of
the month is the lowest ever September mean daily value. Individual values of
130 DU in early October represent nearly 65% depletion and are the second lowest
on record for the station. A strong spring warming episode occurred between
October 20th and 28th, with a very rapid rise to 400 DU on October 22nd; this is
the earliest the warming has occurred for several years and is also the steepest
rise (some 250 DU in three days). Following the event mean values dropped to 180
DU (50% depletion), and then slowly rose again, reaching 230 DU by November
23rd. The final spring warming occurred between November 21st and 23rd with mean
ozone values rising rapidly to around 340 DU by the end of November. The
November monthly mean is the second lowest on record. Values in early December
were near normal at around 360 DU, but were generally below normal throughout
the late summer and autumn.
Preliminary ozone measurements from Halley
show that mean ozone values dropped from around 180 DU at the end of August to
105 DU in early October (65% depletion), then slowly rose to reach 160 DU by
November 7th. A minor peak occurred between November 7th and 17th, with a
maximum of 230 DU on the 11th, followed by a decline to 185 DU. The spring
warming commenced on November 24th with ozone levels peaking at around 350 DU in
late November and then slowly declining. The monthly means for September and
October are between those of 1992 and 1993. Mean values throughout the summer
and autumn were significantly below those of the long term mean and throughout
the season no daily values exceeded those of the long term mean.
The data from 1956 - 1994 suggest that the
mean for October 1995 will be around 120 DU, with minimum values below 100 DU.
The temperature at 100 hPa rose slowly
from the winter value of around -82 deg C in early October to reach -67 deg C by
November 22nd (some 15 degrees below normal). The final warming then took place
with the temperature reaching near normal values of around -40 deg C by the end
of the month. The temperature then slowly declined, reaching -60 deg C by the
end of April.
The ozone values from Halley and Faraday
are consistent with a hole of greater maximum extent than in 1993, but slightly
shallower. NASA GSFC images from Meteor-3/TOMS and radiosonde data suggest that
the edge of the hole was over the tip of South America and the Falkland Islands
between October 11th and 21st, and was close to the region between October 29th
and November 13th. The Falkland Islands now consider the ozone hole a major
threat to health following cases of severe sunburn during this event.
British Antarctic Survey summary 1993-Preliminary ozone values from the British
Antarctic Survey Faraday station (65 south, 64 west on the coast of the
Antarctic Peninsula) show running average ozone values dropping from around 280
DU at the begining of September to around 200 DU at the month's end. There is
considerable day to day variation. Data from our long term record for the
station indicate normal values of around 330 DU for this period (with a range of
280 DU to 380 DU). This year's mean September ozone value is 245 DU, giving a
reduction of about 25%. The minimum September daily mean value of 142 DU on
September 28th is the lowest ever recorded at Faraday (next lowest 145 DU in
1992).
Preliminary ozone values from the British
Antarctic Survey Halley station (76 south, 26 west on the Brunt ice shelf) show
mean ozone values dropping from around 210 DU in early September to around 110
DU in early October. Data from our long term record for the station indicate
normal values of around 300 DU for this period (with a range of 260 DU to 340 DU).
This year's mean September ozone value of 159 DU is the second lowest recorded
at Halley (lowest 146 DU in 1992), giving a reduction of around 35%. The minimum
September daily mean value of 108 DU on September 30 is the lowest recorded at
Halley (next lowest 111 DU in 1992). Ozone levels in early October are the
lowest ever recorded with depletion exceeding two thirds.
This year's Antarctic ozone hole (1993) is
the deepest ever. Scientists of the British Antarctic Survey (BAS) at Halley
Research Station in Antarctica have recorded their lowest ever value of ozone,
showing that over two-thirds of the protective ozone shield has been destroyed.
Less than one- third remains intact, and the depletion phase may not be over for
some days yet. BAS scientists at Faraday Research Station, normally near the
edge of the ozone hole, have also measured record low values of ozone for their
station.
The Antarctic ozone hole is an annual
phenomenon which has occurred in every (southern hemisphere) spring since the
late 1970s. It is caused by the chemical action of chlorine and bromine released
from man-made chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) and halons. Thanks to the international
Montreal Protocol, the annual production of these substances is now less than
before, but the total amount in the atmosphere continues to rise, dashing hopes
of an early recovery for the ozone layer. The CFCs are not expected to reach
their maximum concentration in the atmosphere until around the turn of the
century, so the Antarctic ozone hole may continue to worsen until then.
BAS scientists have been measuring ozone
in Antarctica on a daily basis since 1957. There was no ozone hole at all until
the late 1970s. The Antarctic ozone layer is not expected to return to normal
until the 2070s.