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WMO No. 898
NEW REPORT HIGHLIGHTS TWO-WAY LINK
BETWEEN OZONE LAYER AND CLIMATE CHANGE
Geneva/Nairobi, 16 September 2010 – International efforts to
protect the ozone layer—the
shield that protects life on Earth from harmful levels of
ultraviolet rays—are a success and
have stopped additional ozone losses and contributed to
mitigating the greenhouse effect,
according to a new report.
The executive summary of the Scientific Assessment of Ozone
Depletion 2010 provides new
information about the effects of climate change on the ozone
layer, as well as the impact of ozone
changes on the Earth’s climate.
The report was written and reviewed by some 300 scientists and
launched on the UN International
Day for the Preservation of the Ozone Layer. It is the first
comprehensive update in four years.
The report reaffirms that the Montreal Protocol is working. “It
has protected the stratospheric ozone
layer from much higher levels of depletion by phasing out
production and consumption of ozone
depleting substances.”
Given that many substances that deplete the ozone layer are also
potent greenhouse gases, the
report says that the Montreal Protocol has “provided
substantial co-benefits by reducing climate
change.” In 2010, the reduction of ozone depleting substances
as a result of the Montreal Protocol,
expressed in CO 2-equivalent
emissions (about 10 Gigatonnes per year), were five times larger
than those targeted by the first commitment period (2008-2012)
of the Kyoto Protocol, the
greenhouse emissions reduction treaty.
The report published by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO)
and the United Nations
Environment Programme (UNEP) says that an important remaining
scientific challenge is to project
future ozone abundance based on an understanding of the complex
linkages between ozone and
climate change.
Changes in climate are expected to have an increasing influence
on stratospheric ozone in the
coming decades, it says. “These changes derive principally
from the emissions of long-lived
greenhouse gases, mainly carbon dioxide, associated with human
activities.”
Key findings on the ozone layer:
• Over the past decade,
global ozone and ozone in the Arctic and Antarctic regions is no
longer decreasing but is not yet increasing.
• As a result of the
phase-out of ozone depleting substances under the Montreal Protocol,
the ozone layer outside the Polar regions is projected to
recover to its pre-1980 levels some
time before the middle of this century. The recovery might be
speeded up by greenhouse
gas-induced cooling of the upper stratosphere.
• In contrast, the
springtime ozone hole over the Antarctic is expected to recover much later.
• The impact of the
Antarctic ozone hole on surface climate is becoming evident, leading to
important changes in surface temperature and wind patterns.
• It is reaffirmed that at
mid-latitudes, surface UV radiation has been about constant over the
last decade.
• In Antarctica large UV
levels continue to be seen when the springtime ozone hole is large.
Key findings on ozone depleting substances and substitutes:
Many ozone depleting chemicals, such as CFCs
(chlorofluorocarbons), once present in products
such as refrigerators and spray cans, have been phased out.
Demand for replacement substances
called HCFCs (hydrochlorofluorocarbons) and HFCs (hydrofluorocarbons)
has increased. Many of
these are powerful greenhouse gases.
• Total emissions of HCFCs
are projected to begin to decline in the coming decade due to
measures agreed under the Montreal Protocol in 2007. But they
are currently increasing
faster than four years ago. The most abundant one, HCFC-22,
increased more than 50%
faster in 2007-2008 than in 2003-2004.
• Abundances and emissions
of HFCs are increasing at about 8% per year. HFC-23 is a
byproduct of HCFC-22 production. Although it has no impact on
the ozone layer it is more
than 14,000 times more powerful as a greenhouse gas than CO 2.
Achim Steiner, UN Under-Secretary General and UNEP Executive
Director said: "This represents
a further potential area for action within the overall climate
change challenge. An international
group of modellers working with UNEP recently concluded that
current commitments and pledges
linked with the Copenhagen Accord are unlikely to keep a global
temperature rise to under 2°C by
2050. The gap between scientific reality and ambition is
estimated to average around 4.7
Gigatonnes of CO 2 equivalent
per year--a gap that needs to be urgently bridged over the next
decade or so if the 2°C target is to be met."
Commenting on the International Day for the Preservation of the
Ozone Layer, he added: "Today's
report underlines that action to protect the ozone layer has not
only been a success, but continues
to deliver multiple benefits to economies including on efforts
to meet the Millennium Development
Goals. The contribution to combating climate change is one, but
so are the direct benefits to public
health. For without the Montreal Protocol and its associated
Vienna Convention atmospheric levels
of ozone-depleting substances could have increased tenfold by
2050. This in turn could have led to
up to 20 million more cases of skin cancer and 130 million more
cases of eye cataracts, not to
speak of damage to human immune systems, wildlife and
agriculture.”
“The ozone-hole issue demonstrates the importance of long-term
atmospheric monitoring and
research, without which ozone destruction would have continued
unabated and might not have
been detected until more serious damage was evident,” said WMO
Secretary-General Michel
Jarraud. “The Montreal Protocol is an outstanding example of
collaboration among scientists and
decision-makers that has resulted in the successful mitigation
of a serious environmental and
societal threat.’’
“Human activities will continue to change the composition of
the atmosphere. WMO’s Global
Atmosphere Watch programme will therefore continue its crucial
monitoring, research and
assessment activities to provide scientific data needed to
understand and ultimately predict
environmental changes on both regional and global scales,”
said Mr Jarraud.
The Scientific Assessment Panel will present the Executive
Summary of the new report at the next
annual Meeting of the Parties to the Montreal Protocol, to be
held in Kampala, Uganda, from 8 to
12 November 2010.
The full body of the report will be available in early 2011.
The International Day for the Preservation of the Ozone Layer 16
September marks the signature
date, in 1987, of the Montreal Protocol on Substances that
Deplete the Ozone Layer.
For more information, please contact:
At WMO:
Carine Richard-Van Maele, Chief, Communications and Public
Affairs, Tel: +(41 22) 730 8315;
+(41 79) 406 47 30 (cell); e-mail: cpa@wmo.int
Clare Nullis, Press Officer, Communications and Public Affairs,
Tel: +(41 22) 730 8478; e-mail:
cnullis@wmo.int
WMO website: www.wmo.int
At UNEP:
Nick Nuttall, UNEP Spokesperson/Head of Media, Tel: +254 207 62
30 84, +254 (0) 733 632755
(cell); e-mail nick.nuttall@unep.org
Relevant links include http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/gaw/ozone/index.html
and
www.unep.org/ozone/
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